PESA
PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25

PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25

English

Zimbabwe’s economy has had a slow recovery from the most recent global economic shocks caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Real GDP growth is projected to decrease to 2.0% in 2024, from 5.3% in 2023 after reaching an annual average growth rate of 6.6% for 2021 to 2023. Economic growth has been largely affected poor performance of agricultural output due to the severe drought[1]. Inflation is projected to decrease to 635.3% in 2024, from 667.4% in 2023 after reaching an annual average rate of 319.8% for 2021 to 2023[2]. Inflation has been largely affected or driven by food and non alcoholic beverages, housing and utilities, and transport[3].

PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25
PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25

The Southern African Development Community (SADC) macroeconomic convergence criteria aim to promote economic stability and harmonisation across member states by targeting specific economic indicators. The criteria focus on inflation rates, fiscal deficits, debt-to-GDP ratios, and the stability of exchange rates. SADC’s criteria include maintaining inflation rates below 5% and fiscal deficits below 3% of GDP, alongside a public debt ratio of under 60% of GDP. In 2024, Zimbabwe’s inflation levels are well above the SADC benchmark at 635.3% due to the ZWL* depreciating by about 260% in 1Q2024 and the drought which affected agricultural output and electricity generation[4]. At these inflation levels, according to the rule of seventy, the purchasing power or value of the ZWL is halved every month[5]. Hence, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) decided to abolish the ZWL and introduce a commodity-backed currency in April 2024, the ZWG*, as part of its interventions to stem inflation and enable macroeconomic stability[6]. Inflation is projected to decrease to 23.6% in 2025 before reaching an annual average of 12.5% for 2025 to 2027. At these levels, inflation is expected to remain well above the SADC benchmark. Nevertheless, Zimbabwe’s inflation is expected to moderate due to diminished effects of the drought and a more stable currency exchange rate in the medium-term. Hence, according to the rule of seventy, this level of inflationary pressure would halve the purchasing power or value of the ZWG in 5 years and 7 months. This highlights the importance pursuing macroeconomic stability through the RBZ interventions and strengthening the monetary policy framework to ensure effective transmission mechanisms for monetary policy and credible communication to align inflationary expectations with the monetary policy stance. Lastly, the monetary policy authorities need to coordinate with the Government to improve resilience to adverse weather conditions that affect the agricultural production and electricity generation affecting macroeconomic stability.

PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25
PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25

The Government of Zimbabwe’s fiscal deficit is well above the SADC benchmark at -10.4% of GDP due to the weaker economic performance and monetary policy response to the inflationary pressures which further increased debt-servicing costs in 2024[7]. Despite these fiscal balance levels, the Government of Zimbabwe’s debt should have decreased in 2024 due to the rebalancing impact of introduction of the ZWG and conversion of the financial balances from ZWL. Public debt is projected to decrease to 70.3% of GDP in 2024, from 96.7% of GDP in 2023 after reaching an annual average of 85.7% of GDP for 2021 to 2023. At these levels, public debt remains above the SADC benchmark in 2024. Zimbabwe’s fiscal deficit is projected to narrow to -7.8% of GDP for 2025 to 2027. Meanwhile, Zimbabwe’s public debt is expected to decrease to 58.0% of GDP in 2025 before reaching an annual average of 55.5% of GDP due to the plans for fiscal consolidation and improved growth outlook in the medium-term. Strong commitment to fiscal discipline as part of the wider efforts to restore macroeconomic stability and fiscal consolidation plans are critical components of the Government of Zimbabwe’s debt management strategy. As at the end of September 2024, the Government had a total of USD 21.1 billion in outstanding debt including USD 10.4 billion in arrears and penalties[8]. Therefore, the current plans to clear the Government arrears are a crucial part of the debt management strategy and part of the efforts to stabilise the Zimbabwean economy and re-engage with the international community and development partners. This will also help to improve the external sector and balance of payment for Zimbabwe.

PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25
PESA Editorial on Zimbabwe: 2H2024/25

In 2024, Zimbabwe’s current account balance is projected to deteriorate to a deficit of -USD 109.0 million (approx. -0.3% of GDP), from a surplus of USD 135.0 million (approx. 0.4% of GDP) in 2023 after reaching an annual average current account surplus of USD 262.7 million (approx. 0.8% of GDP) for 2021 to 2023[9]. This is well within the SADC benchmark of a current account deficit of no greater than -3.0% of GDP. The current account balance is projected to have deteriorated due to the drought which lowered agricultural output by 15% and declining prices for Zimbabwe’s key mineral exports (platinum and lithium)[10]. In the medium-term from 2025 to 2027, Zimbabwe’s current account balance is projected to recover to a surplus averaging USD 232.0 million (approx. 0.6% of GDP). The current account balance is projected to remain well above the SADC benchmark. The current account balance is projected to recover due to strong remittances and stabilisation of the ZWG exchange rate over the medium-term[11]. The introduction of the ZWG and interventions by the RBZ seem to be yielding positive results. However, persisting inflationary pressures, intensifying geopolitical national and trade protectionism, and weather-related shocks are significant downside risks that may affect the recovery in Zimbabwe’s external sector and the restoration of macroeconomic stability over the medium-term. Nevertheless, the RBZ interventions and gradual accumulation of foreign exchange reserves present vital buffers that may help to absorb external shocks even though Zimbabwe currently has insufficient external buffers.


[1] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[2] Data from the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) reflects an annual average inflation rate of 57.1% in 2024 following the introduction of the ZWG. See https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[3] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[4] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission; https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/06/27/pr-24248-zimbabwe-imf-staff-completes-2024-article-iv-mission; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[5] The Rule of 70 is a simple method to estimate how long it takes for a variable to double or halve, given its fixed annual growth rate or depreciation rate, by dividing 70 by the growth rate or depreciation rate percentage.

[6] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[7] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/The-2025-National-Budget-Speech.pdf.

[8] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Public-Debt-Report-November-2024-ZPDMO.pdf.

[9] The RBZ projects an increase in the current account surplus to USD 501.2 million in 2024, due to improved remittances inflows. See https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[10] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

[11] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

Français

L’économie du Zimbabwe s’est lentement redressée après les derniers chocs économiques mondiaux causés par le conflit entre la Russie et l’Ukraine. La croissance du PIB réel devrait diminuer à 2,0 % en 2024, contre 5,3 % en 2023, après avoir atteint un taux de croissance annuel moyen de 6,6 % de 2021 à 2023. La croissance économique a été largement affectée, les mauvaises performances de la production agricole en raison de la grave sécheresse[1]. L’inflation devrait diminuer à 635,3 % en 2024, contre 667,4 % en 2023, après avoir atteint un taux annuel moyen de 319,8 % pour 2021 à 2023[2]. L’inflation a été largement influencée ou alimentée par les produits alimentaires et les boissons non alcoolisées, le logement et les services publics, ainsi que les transports[3].

Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25
Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25

Les critères de convergence macroéconomique de la Communauté de développement de l’Afrique australe (SADC) visent à promouvoir la stabilité économique et l’harmonisation entre les États membres en ciblant des indicateurs économiques spécifiques. Les critères sont axés sur les taux d’inflation, les déficits budgétaires, les ratios dette/PIB et la stabilité des taux de change. Les critères de la SADC comprennent le maintien de taux d’inflation inférieurs à 5% et de déficits budgétaires inférieurs à 3% du PIB, ainsi qu’un ratio de dette publique inférieur à 60% du PIB. En 2024, les niveaux d’inflation au Zimbabwe sont bien supérieurs à ceux de la SADC, à 635,3%, en raison de la dépréciation de la ZWL* d’environ 260% au 1er trimestre 2024 et de la sécheresse qui a affecté la production agricole et la production d’électricité[4]. À ces niveaux d’inflation, selon la règle des soixante-dix, le pouvoir d’achat ou la valeur du ZWL est divisé par deux chaque mois[5]. Par conséquent, la Banque de réserve du Zimbabwe (RBZ) a décidé d’abolir le ZWL et d’introduire une monnaie adossée à des matières premières en avril 2024, le ZWG*, dans le cadre de ses interventions visant à endiguer l’inflation et à permettre la stabilité macroéconomique[6]. L’inflation devrait diminuer à 23,6 % en 2025 avant d’atteindre une moyenne annuelle de 12,5 % pour les années 2025 à 2027. À ces niveaux, l’inflation devrait rester bien supérieure à la référence de la SADC. Néanmoins, l’inflation au Zimbabwe devrait se modérer en raison de la diminution des effets de la sécheresse et d’un taux de change plus stable à moyen terme. Par conséquent, selon la règle des soixante-dix, ce niveau de pression inflationniste réduirait de moitié le pouvoir d’achat ou la valeur du ZWG en 5 ans et 7 mois. Cela souligne l’importance de la recherche de la stabilité macroéconomique par le biais des interventions de la RBZ et du renforcement du cadre de politique monétaire afin d’assurer des mécanismes de transmission efficaces de la politique monétaire et une communication crédible pour aligner les anticipations inflationnistes sur l’orientation de la politique monétaire. Enfin, les autorités chargées de la politique monétaire doivent se coordonner avec le gouvernement pour améliorer la résilience face aux conditions météorologiques défavorables qui affectent la production agricole et la production d’électricité, affectant la stabilité macroéconomique.

Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25
Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25

Le déficit budgétaire du gouvernement du Zimbabwe est bien supérieur à celui de référence de la SADC, à -10,4% du PIB, en raison de la baisse des performances économiques et de la réponse de la politique monétaire aux pressions inflationnistes, qui ont encore augmenté les coûts du service de la dette en 2024[7]. Malgré ces niveaux d’équilibre budgétaire, la dette du gouvernement du Zimbabwe aurait dû diminuer en 2024 en raison de l’impact du rééquilibrage de l’introduction du ZWG et de la conversion des soldes financiers du ZWL. La dette publique devrait diminuer à 70,3 % du PIB en 2024, contre 96,7 % du PIB en 2023, après avoir atteint une moyenne annuelle de 85,7 % du PIB de 2021 à 2023. À ces niveaux, la dette publique reste supérieure à la référence de la SADC en 2024. Le déficit budgétaire du Zimbabwe devrait se réduire à -7,8% du PIB entre 2025 et 2027. Dans le même temps, la dette publique du Zimbabwe devrait diminuer à 58,0 % du PIB en 2025 avant d’atteindre une moyenne annuelle de 55,5 % du PIB en raison des plans d’assainissement budgétaire et de l’amélioration des perspectives de croissance à moyen terme. Un engagement ferme en faveur de la discipline budgétaire dans le cadre des efforts plus larges visant à rétablir la stabilité macroéconomique et des plans d’assainissement budgétaire sont des éléments essentiels de la stratégie de gestion de la dette du gouvernement du Zimbabwe. À la fin du mois de septembre 2024, le gouvernement disposait d’un total de 21,1 milliards de dollars d’encours de dette, dont 10,4 milliards de dollars d’arriérés et de pénalités[8]. Par conséquent, les plans actuels visant à apurer les arriérés du gouvernement sont un élément crucial de la stratégie de gestion de la dette et font partie des efforts visant à stabiliser l’économie zimbabwéenne et à renouer avec la communauté internationale et les partenaires de développement. Cela contribuera également à améliorer le secteur extérieur et la balance des paiements du Zimbabwe.

Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25
Éditorial de PESA sur le Zimbabwe : 2S2024/25

En 2024, la balance courante du Zimbabwe devrait se détériorer pour atteindre un déficit de -USD 109,0 millions (environ -0,3 % du PIB), contre un excédent de USD 135,0 millions (environ 0,4 % du PIB) en 2023, après avoir atteint un excédent annuel moyen de la balance courante de USD 262,7 millions (environ 0,8 % du PIB) pour la période 2021-2023[9]. Ce chiffre est bien en deçà de la référence de la SADC d’un déficit de la balance courante ne dépassant pas -3,0% du PIB. La balance courante devrait s’être détériorée en raison de la sécheresse qui a réduit la production agricole de 15% et de la baisse des prix des principales exportations de minéraux du Zimbabwe (platine et lithium)[10]. À moyen terme, de 2025 à 2027, la balance courante du Zimbabwe devrait se redresser pour atteindre un excédent de USD 232,0 millions en moyenne (environ 0,6% du PIB). La balance courante devrait rester bien supérieure à la référence de la SADC. La balance courante devrait se redresser en raison de la vigueur des envois de fonds et de la stabilisation du taux de change du ZWG à moyen terme[11]. L’introduction du ZWG et les interventions de la RBZ semblent donner des résultats positifs. Toutefois, la persistance des pressions inflationnistes, l’intensification du protectionnisme géopolitique, national et commercial et les chocs météorologiques constituent des risques baissiers importants susceptibles d’affecter la reprise du secteur extérieur du Zimbabwe et le rétablissement de la stabilité macroéconomique à moyen terme. Néanmoins, les interventions de la RBZ et l’accumulation progressive des réserves de change constituent des tampons vitaux qui peuvent aider à absorber les positions courtes externes, même si le Zimbabwe ne dispose actuellement pas de réserves extérieures suffisantes.


[1] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[2] Les données de la Banque de réserve du Zimbabwe (RBZ) reflètent un taux d’inflation annuel moyen de 57,1 % en 2024. Voir https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls ; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[3] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls ; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[4] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission ; https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/06/27/pr-24248-zimbabwe-imf-staff-completes-2024-article-iv-mission ; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[5] La règle de 70 est une méthode simple pour estimer le temps nécessaire pour qu’une variable double ou divise par deux, compte tenu de son taux de croissance annuel fixe ou de son taux d’amortissement, en divisant 70 par le pourcentage du taux de croissance ou du taux d’amortissement.

[6] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[7] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/The-2025-National-Budget-Speech.pdf.

[8] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Public-Debt-Report-November-2024-ZPDMO.pdf.

[9] La RBZ prévoit une augmentation de l’excédent de la balance courante à 501,2 millions USD en 2024, en raison de l’amélioration des envois de fonds. Voir https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[10] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

[11] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

Português

A economia do Zimbabué tem tido uma recuperação lenta dos mais recentes choques económicos globais causados pelo conflito Rússia-Ucrânia. Projecta-se que o crescimento do PIB real diminua para 2.0% em 2024, de 5.3% em 2023, após ter atingido uma taxa média anual de crescimento de 6.6% em 2021 a 2023. O crescimento económico foi largamente afectado pelo fraco desempenho da produção agrícola devido à grave seca[1]. A inflação deverá diminuir para 635.3% em 2024, de 667.4% em 2023, depois de ter atingido uma taxa média anual de 319.8% entre 2021 e 2023[2]. A inflação foi amplamente afectada ou impulsionada por alimentos e bebidas não alcoólicas, habitação e serviços públicos e transportes[3].

Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25
Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25

Os critérios de convergência macroeconómica da Comunidade de Desenvolvimento da África Austral (SADC) visam promover a estabilidade económica e a harmonização entre os Estados-Membros, visando indicadores económicos específicos. Os critérios centram-se nas taxas de inflação, nos défices orçamentais, nos rácios dívida/PIB e na estabilidade das taxas de câmbio. Os critérios da SADC incluem a manutenção das taxas de inflação abaixo dos 5% e dos défices orçamentais abaixo dos 3% do PIB, a par de um rácio da dívida pública inferior a 60% do PIB. Em 2024, os níveis de inflação do Zimbabué estão bem acima do valor de referência da SADC em 635.3% devido à depreciação da ZWL* em cerca de 260% no 1T2024 e à seca que afectou a produção agrícola e a produção de electricidade[4]. Nestes níveis de inflação, de acordo com a regra dos setenta, o poder de compra ou o valor da ZWL é reduzido para metade todos os meses[5]. Assim, o Banco de Reserva do Zimbábue (RBZ) decidiu abolir a ZWL e introduzir uma moeda lastreada em commodities em abril de 2024, o ZWG*, como parte de suas intervenções para conter a inflação e permitir a estabilidade macroeconómica[6]. Projecta-se que a inflação diminua para 23,6% em 2025, antes de atingir uma média anual de 12,5% entre 2025 e 2027. Nestes níveis, espera-se que a inflação permaneça muito acima do valor de referência da SADC. No entanto, espera-se que a inflação do Zimbabué registe uma moderação devido à diminuição dos efeitos da seca e a uma taxa de câmbio mais estável a médio prazo. Assim, de acordo com a regra dos setenta, esse nível de pressão inflacionária reduziria pela metade o poder de compra ou o valor da ZWG em 5 anos e 7 meses. Este facto realça a importância de prosseguir a estabilidade macroeconómica através das intervenções do RBZ e de reforçar o quadro de política monetária para assegurar mecanismos de transmissão eficazes da política monetária e uma comunicação credível para alinhar as expectativas inflacionistas com a orientação da política monetária. Por último, as autoridades de política monetária têm de se coordenar com o Governo para melhorar a resiliência a condições meteorológicas adversas que afectam a produção agrícola e a produção de electricidade, afectando a estabilidade macroeconómica.

Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25
Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25

O défice orçamental do Governo do Zimbabué está muito acima do valor de referência da SADC em -10.4% do PIB, devido ao desempenho económico mais fraco e à resposta da política monetária às pressões inflacionistas que aumentaram ainda mais os custos do serviço da dívida em 2024[7]. Apesar destes níveis de equilíbrio orçamental, a dívida do Governo do Zimbabué deveria ter diminuído em 2024 devido ao impacto de reequilíbrio da introdução da ZWG e da conversão dos saldos financeiros da ZWL. Projecta-se que a dívida pública diminua para 70,3% do PIB em 2024, de 96,7% do PIB em 2023, depois de atingir uma média anual de 85,7% do PIB entre 2021 e 2023. Nestes níveis, a dívida pública mantém-se acima do valor de referência da SADC em 2024. Prevê-se que o défice orçamental do Zimbabué diminua para -7.8% do PIB entre 2025 e 2027. Entretanto, espera-se que a dívida pública do Zimbabué diminua para 58,0% do PIB em 2025, antes de atingir uma média anual de 55,5% do PIB, devido aos planos de consolidação orçamental e à melhoria das perspetivas de crescimento a médio prazo. Um forte empenho na disciplina orçamental como parte dos esforços mais amplos para restabelecer a estabilidade macroeconómica e os planos de consolidação orçamental são componentes essenciais da estratégia de gestão da dívida do Governo do Zimbabué. No final de setembro de 2024, o Governo tinha um total de 21.1 mil milhões em dívida pendente, incluindo 10.4 mil milhões em pagamentos em atraso e multas[8]. Por conseguinte, os actuais planos para liquidar os pagamentos em atraso do Governo constituem uma parte crucial da estratégia de gestão da dívida e fazem parte dos esforços para estabilizar a economia do Zimbabué e reatar relações com a comunidade internacional e os parceiros de desenvolvimento. Tal contribuirá igualmente para melhorar o sector externo e a balança de pagamentos do Zimbabué.

Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25
Editorial da PESA sobre o Zimbabué: 2S2024/25

Em 2024, projeta-se que o saldo da balança corrente do Zimbabué se deteriore para um défice de -USD 109.0 milhões (aprox. -0.3% do PIB), de um excedente de USD 135.0 milhões (aprox. 0.4% do PIB) em 2023, depois de ter atingido um excedente médio anual da balança corrente de USD 262.7 milhões (aprox. 0.8% do PIB) entre 2021 e 2023[9]. Este valor está dentro do valor de referência da SADC de um défice da balança corrente não superior a -3.0% do PIB. Prevê-se que o saldo da balança corrente se tenha deteriorado devido à seca, que reduziu a produção agrícola em 15%, e à descida dos preços das principais exportações de minerais do Zimbabué (platina e lítio)[10]. A médio prazo, de 2025 a 2027, prevê-se que a balança corrente do Zimbabué recupere para um excedente, em média, de USD 232.0 milhões (cerca de 0.6% do PIB). Prevê-se que o saldo da balança corrente permaneça muito acima do valor de referência da SADC. Projecta-se que a balança corrente recupere devido às fortes remessas e à estabilização da taxa de câmbio ZWG a médio prazo[11]. A introdução do ZWG e as intervenções da RBZ parecem estar a produzir resultados positivos. No entanto, a persistência de pressões inflacionistas, a intensificação do protecionismo geopolítico nacional e comercial e os choques relacionados com as condições meteorológicas constituem riscos descendentes significativos que podem afectar a recuperação do sector externo do Zimbabué e o restabelecimento da estabilidade macroeconómica a médio prazo. No entanto, as intervenções da RBZ e a acumulação gradual de reservas cambiais apresentam amortecedores vitais que podem ajudar a absorver os choques externos, apesar de o Zimbabué ter actualmente reservas externas insuficientes.


[1] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[2] Os dados do Banco de Reserva do Zimbabué (RBZ) refletem uma taxa de inflação média anual de 57,1% em 2024, após a introdução do ZWG. Ver https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[3] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/December/CPI_ZWG_Dec_2024.xls; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/statistics/2024/January/Apr__2024_CPI_email-_Weighted.xls.

[4] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission; https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/06/27/pr-24248-zimbabwe-imf-staff-completes-2024-article-iv-mission; https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[5] A Regra dos 70 é um método simples para estimar quanto tempo demora para uma variável duplicar ou reduzir para metade, dada a sua taxa de crescimento anual fixa ou taxa de depreciação, dividindo 70 pela taxa de crescimento ou percentagem da taxa de depreciação.

[6] https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[7] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/The-2025-National-Budget-Speech.pdf.

[8] https://zimtreasury.co.zw/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Public-Debt-Report-November-2024-ZPDMO.pdf.

[9] O RBZ projecta um aumento do superávit em conta corrente para USD 501.2 milhões em 2024, devido à melhoria das entradas de remessas. Ver https://www.rbz.co.zw/documents/mps/2025/MPS_February_06_2025_1.pdf.

[10] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

[11] https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/02/13/pr-2535-zimbabwe-imf-completes-smp-discussion-mission.

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